After London, Dubai and some other hubs of real estate investment can also embrace with another crisis in property business in 2017
Corporate Ambassador Monitoring News/LONDON: House prices are teetering on the brink of a crash that could be as bad as the bust of the early 1990s, experts have warned.
There are already warning signs that prices are heading towards a 40 per cent plunge, warns Paul Cheshire, Professor of Economic Geography at the London School of Economics.
It raises the alarming spectre of the return of ‘negative equity’ – when a house falls so far in value it is worth less than the mortgage – which hit one million people at the worst point in the 1990s.
The crash could be as bad as the bust of the early 1990s, one leading expert warned
Speaking exclusively to The Mail on Sunday, Prof Cheshire, a former Government housing adviser, said: ‘We are due a significant correction in house prices. I think we are beginning to see signs that correction may be starting.
‘Historically, trends seem always to start in London and then move out across the rest of the country. In the capital, you are already seeing house prices rising less rapidly than in other parts of Britain.’
This graph shows how growth rates had consistently fallen over the last year – and may continue to slump further. Such a shift could push many thousands of recent buyers into trouble. From 1989, the price boom fell apart over the next six years, with prices plunging by 37 per cent. In its most recent figures, The National Association of Estate Agents reported the number of homes sold in May for less than the asking price rose to 77 per cent.
According to Prof Cheshire, the fall in real incomes – when wages fail to keep up with inflation – is likely to be the spark for a fall in house prices. Inflation hit 2.9 per cent last month, while incomes only grew by 2.1 per cent.
The current housing market bears similarities to the housing crash of the early 90s (pictured), when average prices dropped from £62,000 to £50,000
Property experts and estate agents say the housing market in wealthier pockets of the country has been further hit by stamp duty hikes, reports Daily Mail in London.
Prof Christian Hilber of the LSE also warned: ‘If Brexit leads to a recession and/or sluggish growth for extended periods, then an extended and severe downturn is more likely than a short-lived and mild one.’
The Council of Mortgage Lenders said earlier this month that the housing market had ‘stalled’.
If Brexit leads to a recession or sluggish growth then an extended downturn is likely, one expert warned .
After United Kingdom, USA, Dubai and some other hubs of real estate investment in the world are also expected to face crisis in this arena that has seen boom in recent years.